Pollster John Zogby continues to document the two countries of the U.S., the so-called red and blue states. That is, those who voted for Bush and Gore respectively in the 2000 election. The 2004 election is shaping up to be a repeat of 2000 (with the exception of the seven electoral vote pickup for red states).
Los Angeles,CA (PRWEB) February 19, 2004 -- A new poll conducted by Zogby International for The O’Leary Report and Southern Methodist University’s John Tower Center from February 12-15, 2004 of 1,209 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points found that if the election for president were held today, Democrat John Kerry would edge George W. Bush 46% to 45% in the “blue states” – or states won by Al Gore in the 2000 election. In the “red states,” or states won by George W. Bush in 2000, however, Bush wins handily by a 51% to 39% margin.
The same but less pronounced divide occurs for gay marriage. While the blue and red states have roughly the same number of electoral votes, there are 32 red states and 18 blue ones. Again, John Zogby:
While the issue of gay marriages dominates the news in San Francisco and Boston, a majority of Americans remain opposed to the idea. Fifty-two percent of Red State voters and 50% of Blue State voters support such a constitutional amendment while 43% of Red State voters and 44% of Blue State voters disagree.
It looks like the FMA would sweep the red states and would only have to pick up a third of the blue states to pass the amendment. From this poll, such a scenario seems quite plausible.
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